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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.83vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington2.42-0.27vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.18-0.12vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.71-0.21vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.93+1.04vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.42-0.59vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.76-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.07Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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3.05University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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4.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington2.420.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Florida1.180.0%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University0.710.0%1st Place
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10.04The Citadel-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.41Clemson University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.64Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 39.5% | 28.2% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.5% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 20.5% | 22.8% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tamara Greak | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Allison Gray | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Hemstreet | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 22.8% | 15.5% | 5.6% |
| Scott Bidwell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 20.6% | 57.9% |
| James Lemmon | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 35.5% | 29.1% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 14.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.