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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+4.19vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+4.50vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+3.27vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+3.72vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84+0.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.94+0.01vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.19+0.69vs Predicted
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8Washington College-1.01+0.48vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.73-2.78vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72-4.57vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.52-1.19vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-5.35vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.28-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19North Carolina State University1.0913.5%1st Place
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6.5Hampton University0.587.5%1st Place
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6.27Eckerd College0.908.9%1st Place
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7.72Fordham University0.546.8%1st Place
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5.73Princeton University0.8410.2%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy0.949.7%1st Place
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7.69Washington College0.195.9%1st Place
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8.48Washington College-1.014.5%1st Place
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6.22Christopher Newport University0.737.6%1st Place
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5.43Hampton University0.7211.5%1st Place
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9.81Virginia Tech-0.522.6%1st Place
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6.65Christopher Newport University0.658.1%1st Place
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9.3Princeton University-0.283.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Isabella du Plessis | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Tyler Brown | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
Griffin Richardson | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Caroline Sandoval | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
Asher Green | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
Robert Ziman | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
Joseph Bonacci | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
Jonathan Kelly | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Matt Averyt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 31.0% |
Grace Watlington | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
Richard Kertatos | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.