Race 8B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 39.6% 28.0% 15.8% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 12.6% 13.7% 20.3% 17.4% 15.4% 11.4% 5.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 19.3% 22.7% 21.5% 16.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tony Collins 10.7% 15.2% 14.4% 19.7% 18.0% 12.6% 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 7.9% 10.1% 11.6% 14.4% 19.0% 13.0% 14.6% 6.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Allison Gray 2.0% 2.3% 4.7% 4.9% 7.0% 13.2% 17.8% 20.2% 16.4% 9.4% 2.1%
Marten Kendrick 4.4% 4.0% 5.5% 7.8% 10.9% 18.6% 17.8% 15.5% 11.3% 4.0% 0.2%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 5.4% 10.2% 14.4% 19.1% 21.6% 16.3% 5.1%
James Lemmon 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 0.8% 3.9% 4.0% 8.0% 13.6% 34.1% 32.3%
Scott Bidwell 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 3.0% 5.2% 9.5% 22.0% 55.8%
Joel Hurley 1.0% 1.3% 3.1% 3.8% 7.3% 8.4% 14.5% 19.2% 23.3% 13.6% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.