Race 9B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 39.9% 27.0% 17.8% 9.9% 4.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 21.3% 24.9% 21.2% 14.2% 10.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 6.9% 7.7% 12.1% 14.5% 16.2% 17.7% 14.3% 6.5% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.3% 13.6% 16.8% 18.8% 17.5% 12.2% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.4% 15.4% 15.9% 19.2% 16.3% 11.0% 7.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.5% 6.1% 7.0% 11.7% 15.5% 18.1% 16.0% 11.1% 7.1% 1.1%
Allison Gray 2.3% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 9.4% 13.8% 16.3% 18.8% 16.4% 8.5% 2.8%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.8% 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 8.7% 13.8% 18.2% 19.8% 17.4% 7.8%
James Lemmon 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 8.1% 12.1% 24.8% 43.6%
Ben Brightwell 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 6.1% 8.0% 13.9% 25.1% 38.8%
Joel Hurley 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 5.3% 6.4% 8.5% 12.5% 18.6% 20.9% 16.5% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.