Race 11B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Isabella du Plessis 11.6% 11.9% 11.2% 11.1% 11.4% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 5.8% 4.7% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Stefano Palamara 11.7% 9.0% 11.2% 12.0% 10.0% 9.6% 8.3% 7.6% 7.3% 5.5% 4.2% 2.2% 1.2%
Tyler Brown 7.4% 8.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 8.6% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1%
Asher Green 12.1% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 7.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.1%
Griffin Richardson 9.4% 9.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.1% 8.3% 6.2% 6.0% 4.9% 2.2%
Grace Watlington 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 6.6% 3.5%
Joshua Bendura 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 9.5% 8.3% 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 8.3% 6.7% 6.8% 4.5% 2.2%
Richard Kertatos 3.1% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 9.2% 10.7% 15.5% 23.0%
Robert Ziman 9.7% 10.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.6% 8.1% 8.1% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 1.2%
Joseph Bonacci 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 5.8% 6.7% 8.1% 9.9% 10.4% 11.1% 9.9% 8.6%
Jonathan Kelly 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% 6.2% 7.5% 9.5% 12.4% 13.9% 13.7%
Matt Averyt 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.4% 2.8% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 6.8% 10.3% 17.9% 32.3%
Caroline Sandoval 5.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.4% 5.8% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 9.6% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.