Race 10B

saisa-fall-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Banholzer 39.9% 27.0% 17.8% 9.9% 4.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 21.3% 24.9% 21.2% 14.2% 10.0% 6.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tamara Greak 6.9% 7.7% 12.1% 14.4% 16.3% 17.7% 13.9% 6.9% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Hecht 11.3% 13.6% 16.7% 18.9% 17.6% 12.2% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Tony Collins 11.4% 15.4% 16.0% 19.4% 16.0% 11.0% 7.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.5% 6.1% 7.2% 11.5% 15.5% 18.0% 16.4% 11.1% 6.8% 1.1%
Allison Gray 2.3% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 9.4% 13.9% 16.4% 18.6% 16.4% 8.5% 2.9%
Daniel Hemstreet 1.8% 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 8.7% 13.9% 18.5% 19.6% 16.8% 8.2%
Ben Brightwell 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 7.9% 13.2% 25.9% 40.8%
James Lemmon 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 5.9% 7.2% 13.0% 24.9% 41.2%
Joel Hurley 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 5.3% 6.5% 8.4% 12.4% 18.8% 20.9% 16.5% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.