Race 12B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 12.0% 11.8% 10.9% 10.7% 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 7.3% 7.3% 5.1% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9%
Grace Watlington 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 8.1% 7.2% 5.7% 3.1%
Tyler Brown 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 8.4% 7.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 8.0% 7.0% 7.1% 3.0%
Caroline Sandoval 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 10.5% 10.7% 7.6%
Griffin Richardson 10.1% 8.4% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 4.8% 2.5%
Asher Green 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 10.8% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.0% 5.9% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Isabella du Plessis 11.6% 12.4% 11.3% 10.3% 10.7% 9.9% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Joshua Bendura 10.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.7% 7.8% 8.2% 5.4% 4.0% 2.1%
Robert Ziman 10.7% 9.7% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.9% 5.5% 3.6% 1.7%
Richard Kertatos 3.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 4.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 12.2% 15.2% 23.2%
Joseph Bonacci 4.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.4% 11.4% 11.6% 9.2%
Jonathan Kelly 5.1% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 11.7% 13.2% 14.3%
Matt Averyt 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 8.1% 10.3% 16.9% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.