Race 13B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Brown 8.2% 9.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 7.0% 7.8% 5.9% 3.4%
Griffin Richardson 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 8.0% 6.6% 5.0% 1.9%
Stefano Palamara 11.5% 10.8% 10.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 9.0% 7.2% 6.1% 5.8% 4.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Joshua Bendura 9.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 9.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.2% 2.3%
Asher Green 9.9% 11.9% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 7.5% 7.0% 5.2% 3.2% 1.2%
Isabella du Plessis 12.1% 12.1% 12.0% 10.8% 10.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Caroline Sandoval 6.2% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 7.3% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 10.7% 7.0%
Robert Ziman 9.2% 9.5% 10.0% 9.1% 9.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 7.5% 6.9% 5.5% 4.3% 1.7%
Matt Averyt 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 7.8% 11.8% 16.0% 30.9%
Joseph Bonacci 5.7% 6.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 9.4% 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 8.8%
Richard Kertatos 3.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 6.2% 8.4% 11.6% 16.4% 25.2%
Jonathan Kelly 5.1% 4.0% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 10.5% 13.4% 13.2%
Grace Watlington 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 9.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 5.8% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.