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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.29+0.81vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.35vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.67-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.76-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
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2.21University of Rhode Island2.590.4%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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3.65Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 36.0% | 32.3% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Moakes | 36.7% | 27.4% | 20.6% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 22.3% | 23.6% | 14.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 9.5% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 10.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 38.6% |
| William Kresic | 4.4% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.