← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.59+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.70+0.09vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College0.67+1.59vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.29-0.18vs Predicted
-
5Wesleyan University1.45-1.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut0.76-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
-
2.09Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
-
4.59Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.71Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.53University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moakes | 31.7% | 32.3% | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 40.6% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Meghan Colwell | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 27.1% | 35.8% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 8.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 23.5% | 23.6% | 13.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 9.4% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 13.4% |
| William Kresic | 4.5% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.