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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+4.69vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+4.18vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.54+4.70vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.52+5.80vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58+1.40vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09-0.77vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90-0.72vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-0.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.72-3.64vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.28-0.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.94-5.10vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-5.30vs Predicted
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13Washington College-1.01-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Princeton University0.8410.3%1st Place
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6.18Christopher Newport University0.738.8%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University0.545.9%1st Place
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9.8Virginia Tech-0.522.9%1st Place
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6.4Hampton University0.589.3%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University1.0912.2%1st Place
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6.28Eckerd College0.908.9%1st Place
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7.93Washington College0.195.0%1st Place
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5.36Hampton University0.7212.0%1st Place
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9.35Princeton University-0.282.8%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy0.9410.6%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University0.656.6%1st Place
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8.48Washington College-1.014.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 28.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 24.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.