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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.29+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.64+1.23vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.67+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.76-0.78vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.45-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Tufts University2.700.5%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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4.21Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
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3.19Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 52.0% | 27.1% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 13.3% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 10.0% |
| Samuel Morley | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 27.4% |
| Meghan Colwell | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 27.4% |
| William Kresic | 5.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 28.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 14.9% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.