← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.70+0.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.29+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College0.67+1.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.64+0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut0.76-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University1.45-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.8Tufts University2.700.5%1st Place
-
3.35University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.19Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.22University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
-
3.19Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 52.1% | 26.9% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 13.2% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 9.9% |
| Meghan Colwell | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 26.9% |
| Samuel Morley | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 22.3% | 27.9% |
| William Kresic | 5.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 27.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 14.9% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.