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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+5.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.58+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.27vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.74+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.83-0.71vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.21-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis2.13-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley2.60-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.85Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.57Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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5.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Vetter | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Harrison | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Jack Porter | 11.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Mark Anders | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 21.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 24.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.