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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.64+0.82vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.16-0.87vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Wisconsin0.7044.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Michigan-0.6414.8%1st Place
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2.13Northwestern University0.1631.6%1st Place
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3.19Purdue University-1.009.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 44.2% | 31.5% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 14.8% | 20.9% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
| Grace Bray | 31.6% | 33.8% | 24.6% | 10.1% |
| Kellie Keane | 9.3% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.