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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.29+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+0.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70-0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.76+0.48vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.67-0.31vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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2.09Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
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4.48University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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3.66Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary O'Brien | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 16.1% |
| Andrew Moakes | 34.5% | 30.5% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 37.3% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Kresic | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 27.3% | 30.9% |
| Meghan Colwell | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 39.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.0% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.