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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.64+2.24vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.29-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.76-1.81vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.67-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Tufts University2.700.5%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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3.16Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
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4.28Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 53.4% | 26.8% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Morley | 6.1% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 28.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 14.9% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 13.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 23.5% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| William Kresic | 6.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 23.8% | 26.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.