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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+0.78vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.45+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.29+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.64+0.26vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.67-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.76-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Tufts University2.700.5%1st Place
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3.16Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island0.640.1%1st Place
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4.29Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 52.9% | 26.6% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 15.3% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 13.2% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 8.1% |
| Samuel Morley | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 28.3% |
| Meghan Colwell | 5.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 29.9% |
| William Kresic | 6.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 22.9% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.