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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.15vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.45+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.29+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59-1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.76-0.43vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.67-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.63Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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2.19University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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4.57University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 37.5% | 30.3% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.0% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 21.7% | 20.0% | 12.4% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 9.8% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 23.9% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Moakes | 34.2% | 30.3% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| William Kresic | 4.4% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 26.6% | 34.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 4.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.