← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island-0.85+3.87vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.61vs Predicted
-
3Boston University-0.64+1.55vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-1.01+1.07vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.99+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University-0.17-2.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10+0.18vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-3.59vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-0.70-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.87University of Rhode Island-0.859.8%1st Place
-
3.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0919.4%1st Place
-
4.55Boston University-0.6412.3%1st Place
-
5.07Salve Regina University-1.018.5%1st Place
-
7.31Middlebury College-1.992.9%1st Place
-
3.59Northeastern University-0.1718.7%1st Place
-
7.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.102.9%1st Place
-
4.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.5712.8%1st Place
-
4.41Bates College-0.7012.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Moore | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 22.4% | 42.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 18.7% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 37.5% |
| Michael Morley | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Colby Green | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.