← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.93vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.28+1.29vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.07vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.11+0.67vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85-1.79vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.45-2.02vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.87-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
-
4.29Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
-
4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
5.25SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.67Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.21Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.98Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.1Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Mike Carr | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 21.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.