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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.09vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+2.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.91vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.95vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.85vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.19Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.29SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.05Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Michael Popp | 12.7% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% |
| Mike Carr | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.