← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+2.94vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.14-0.36vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.10+1.49vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.18-1.13vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.72vs Predicted
-
6Wake Forest University0.08-1.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-2.55-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.6%1st Place
-
1.64College of Charleston2.1457.5%1st Place
-
4.49North Carolina State University-0.105.0%1st Place
-
2.87University of South Carolina1.1815.7%1st Place
-
4.28University of North Carolina-0.055.9%1st Place
-
4.1Wake Forest University0.087.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 8.6% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% |
| Harrison Thomson | 57.5% | 26.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.0% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 28.8% | 5.1% |
| David Manley | 15.7% | 28.1% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 23.9% | 3.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 7.0% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 3.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.