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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+1.27vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11+0.67vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87-1.86vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.83vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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4.27Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.17Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.04Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.6% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Mike Carr | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 31.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.