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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.79vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.10+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.74vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.08-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.55-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66College of Charleston2.1455.0%1st Place
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2.79University of South Carolina1.1819.3%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University-0.105.3%1st Place
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4.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.1%1st Place
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4.26University of North Carolina-0.056.2%1st Place
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4.17Wake Forest University0.086.7%1st Place
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6.67University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 55.0% | 29.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 19.3% | 27.2% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 5.3% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 24.7% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.1% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 2.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.2% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 25.2% | 4.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 2.7% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.