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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.35vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.90vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85-1.82vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.32vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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5.61SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.94Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.18Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.08Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Mike Carr | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 14.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.7% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 34.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.