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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.11vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.74+2.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+0.16vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45+0.82vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85-1.76vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.47SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.82Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.24Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Liberty | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Michael Popp | 13.7% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.2% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 31.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.