← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.24vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University2.74+3.59vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine2.83+2.47vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis2.13+2.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California3.58-1.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.42+0.29vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles2.21-0.14vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-2.75vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley2.60-3.11vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.50-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
-
5.59Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.47University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
-
3.58University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
-
6.29University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
-
3.83Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Jack Porter | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 23.2% |
| Christopher Vetter | 22.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Soren Wilde | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| Mark Anders | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.8% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.