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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.85vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.64-0.14vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Wisconsin0.7045.1%1st Place
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2.12Northwestern University0.1632.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Michigan-0.6413.7%1st Place
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3.17Purdue University-1.008.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Castellini | 45.1% | 31.9% | 16.4% | 6.7% |
Grace Bray | 32.2% | 33.6% | 24.0% | 10.2% |
Katherine Simcoe | 13.7% | 19.4% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
Kellie Keane | 8.9% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.