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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.94vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.74vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.08-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.55-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66College of Charleston2.1454.8%1st Place
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2.86University of South Carolina1.1817.8%1st Place
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3.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.7%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University-0.105.7%1st Place
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4.26University of North Carolina-0.057.0%1st Place
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4.18Wake Forest University0.086.7%1st Place
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6.68University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 54.8% | 29.6% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.8% | 25.8% | 26.1% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.7% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 2.5% |
| Will Finch | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 27.0% | 5.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 23.1% | 4.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.7% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 23.7% | 21.2% | 3.0% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.