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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.51vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.74+2.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+0.13vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45+0.82vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-0.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.47SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.82Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.13Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.14Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Mike Carr | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 34.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.