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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.81vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.08+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05+0.25vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.10-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.55-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68College of Charleston2.1456.0%1st Place
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2.81University of South Carolina1.1817.6%1st Place
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4.17Wake Forest University0.086.3%1st Place
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4.25University of North Carolina-0.055.6%1st Place
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4.44North Carolina State University-0.106.2%1st Place
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3.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Georgia-2.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 56.0% | 26.7% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.6% | 27.8% | 26.5% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 3.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.6% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 4.0% |
| Will Finch | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 29.5% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Patin | 8.0% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 2.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.