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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.38vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.34vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.74+1.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.93vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87-0.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-0.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.83vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.38Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.26SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.17Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.0Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Mike Carr | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 34.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.