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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.48vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+3.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.74+0.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.88vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.33vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.07Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.29SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Liberty | 14.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Mike Carr | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% |
| Michael Popp | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.6% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 33.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.