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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.81vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.10+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-2.55+1.67vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.08-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7College of Charleston2.1454.6%1st Place
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2.81University of South Carolina1.1818.7%1st Place
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4.4North Carolina State University-0.105.6%1st Place
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4.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.3%1st Place
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6.67University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
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4.13Wake Forest University0.086.5%1st Place
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4.25University of North Carolina-0.056.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 54.6% | 27.2% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 18.7% | 28.3% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Finch | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 28.4% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Patin | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 3.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 85.2% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.5% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 3.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.