← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.74+4.40vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.36vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.95vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.23vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.87+0.02vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.85-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.28-2.75vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.45-2.01vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.11-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
3.95U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
4.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
-
5.02Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
5.12Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
4.25Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
5.99Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.67Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Carr | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Michael Popp | 17.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.5% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.