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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05+0.32vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University0.08-0.84vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.10-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.55-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67College of Charleston2.1455.5%1st Place
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2.83University of South Carolina1.1818.3%1st Place
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3.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.8%1st Place
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4.32University of North Carolina-0.056.2%1st Place
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4.16Wake Forest University0.086.8%1st Place
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4.38North Carolina State University-0.104.9%1st Place
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6.69University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 55.5% | 28.2% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 18.3% | 27.5% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.8% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 2.9% |
| Kathleen Hale | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 25.4% | 4.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 3.2% |
| Will Finch | 4.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 25.9% | 4.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.