← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.28+2.40vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.45+3.08vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.07vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.81vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.87-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.11-0.26vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.85-2.85vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.74-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
4.4Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.08Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
4.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
-
5.05Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.74Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.15Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.4SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Popp | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 34.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.3% |
| Mike Carr | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.