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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.21vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+1.06vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University-2.01+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.71+0.95vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.48-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.36-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21College of Charleston2.1681.3%1st Place
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3.06University of North Carolina-0.246.8%1st Place
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5.34Wake Forest University-2.010.9%1st Place
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4.95University of South Carolina-1.711.8%1st Place
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3.34North Carolina State University-0.486.0%1st Place
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4.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.362.3%1st Place
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5.65University of Georgia-2.360.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 81.3% | 16.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.8% | 31.8% | 29.1% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Mary Outland | 0.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 25.8% | 28.6% |
| Robert Gates | 1.8% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| Tucker Parks | 6.0% | 23.9% | 28.0% | 22.6% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 2.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.