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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.35vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.05vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.01vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.74-0.64vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.94vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.86vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.01Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.36SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.06Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.14Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Michael Popp | 12.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Mike Carr | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.