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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.21vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+1.48vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-2.01+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.71-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.36-0.29vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.48-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21College of Charleston2.1681.3%1st Place
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3.03University of North Carolina-0.247.2%1st Place
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4.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.362.0%1st Place
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5.3Wake Forest University-2.011.4%1st Place
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4.92University of South Carolina-1.711.3%1st Place
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5.71University of Georgia-2.360.9%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University-0.485.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 81.3% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.2% | 32.8% | 28.1% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
Hailey Hathaway | 2.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 19.5% | 9.5% |
Mary Outland | 1.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 26.3% | 26.6% |
Robert Gates | 1.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 23.0% | 17.9% |
Garrett Holt | 0.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 44.0% |
Tucker Parks | 5.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.