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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.74+4.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+1.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51-2.23vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.89vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.29vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.14Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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3.77Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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6.11Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Carr | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% |
| Michael Popp | 12.7% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Alex Post | 18.8% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 34.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.