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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+2.81vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.74+3.65vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.73vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-0.85vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.90vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.27vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.1Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.17Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 17.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Mike Carr | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 14.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Michael Popp | 16.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 19.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 36.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.