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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.21vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University-2.01+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia-2.36+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24-0.93vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.48-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21College of Charleston2.1681.8%1st Place
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5.31Wake Forest University-2.011.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Georgia-2.360.9%1st Place
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3.07University of North Carolina-0.246.6%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University-0.485.3%1st Place
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4.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.362.6%1st Place
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4.89University of South Carolina-1.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 81.8% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Outland | 1.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 26.8% | 26.4% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 43.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.6% | 31.8% | 29.2% | 18.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.3% | 25.4% | 27.9% | 20.8% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 2.6% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 10.5% |
| Robert Gates | 1.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 24.0% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.