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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+4.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.15vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11+3.76vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51-0.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.76vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.85vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.74-1.50vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-2.86vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.76Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.76Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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4.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.5SUNY Maritime College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.05Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% |
| Michael Popp | 12.7% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 34.8% |
| Alex Post | 17.9% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Mike Carr | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.