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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+5.09vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+4.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-0.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-0.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.76vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.61vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83+1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-3.84vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-4.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-3.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.73vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.09University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.26Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.93Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 18.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Haley Powell | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 30.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.