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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.21vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+1.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.44vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University-2.01+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.36-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21College of Charleston2.1682.0%1st Place
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3.07University of North Carolina-0.246.7%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University-0.485.5%1st Place
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4.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.9%1st Place
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5.28Wake Forest University-2.011.7%1st Place
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5.69University of Georgia-2.360.5%1st Place
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4.9University of South Carolina-1.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 82.0% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.7% | 32.6% | 27.5% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Parks | 5.5% | 23.9% | 28.0% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 9.9% |
| Mary Outland | 1.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 43.2% |
| Robert Gates | 1.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.