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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.85vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.64-0.15vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Wisconsin0.7043.7%1st Place
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2.1Northwestern University0.1632.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan-0.6415.0%1st Place
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3.2Purdue University-1.009.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Castellini | 43.7% | 33.1% | 17.8% | 5.4% |
Grace Bray | 32.3% | 34.5% | 23.5% | 9.7% |
Katherine Simcoe | 15.0% | 18.8% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
Kellie Keane | 9.0% | 13.5% | 26.0% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.