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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.66vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+3.35vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.74+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis2.13+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.83-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.42-0.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.50-4.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.21-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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5.68Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.76Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Los Angeles2.210.1%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 21.5% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Soper | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 24.7% |
| Jack Porter | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Soren Wilde | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.6% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Mark Anders | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 21.5% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.