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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+5.42vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+6.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+1.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.34vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.80vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+1.40vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43+2.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29+1.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83+0.65vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-5.80vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.83vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-5.80vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.48-10.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.4Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.03Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.37Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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13.65Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.17Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 26.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.