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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.22vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+1.02vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.48+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-2.36+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.57vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University-2.01-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.22College of Charleston2.1681.0%1st Place
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3.02University of North Carolina-0.247.5%1st Place
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3.39North Carolina State University-0.485.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Georgia-2.361.0%1st Place
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4.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.362.9%1st Place
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5.32Wake Forest University-2.010.9%1st Place
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4.93University of South Carolina-1.711.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 81.0% | 16.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.5% | 32.1% | 29.4% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Tucker Parks | 5.1% | 23.6% | 29.0% | 21.2% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
Garrett Holt | 1.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 41.9% |
Hailey Hathaway | 2.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 10.6% |
Mary Outland | 0.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 25.7% | 27.6% |
Robert Gates | 1.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 23.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.