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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+7.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+7.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.89vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+0.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.12vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-0.33vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+2.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.47vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-1.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.57vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-1.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.73vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-5.64vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.08Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.11Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Haley Powell | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 26.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.