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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.58vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.68vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.62vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.13vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-1.33vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-5.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.98vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-1.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.30vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-5.05vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.92-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.67University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.7Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.95Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 28.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.