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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+5.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+0.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-1.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+1.01vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-3.47vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-2.92vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.28vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.48vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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4.7Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.08Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.72Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 28.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.