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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.48vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-2.34vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-2.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.92vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.56vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-4.99vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.58Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.01Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.