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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+7.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+5.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+0.60vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-3.34vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-1.35vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-8.15vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-2.81vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.06Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Haley Powell | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 29.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.