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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.53+9.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+7.13vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+6.22vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.45vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+3.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.40vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-2.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-2.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-4.28vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-6.00vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-5.83vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-6.51vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.72University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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14.45Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Watson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Erica Lush | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.