← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+0.70vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.36+1.57vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.90+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University-0.13+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Auburn University-0.45-0.84vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.10-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.7Jacksonville University2.1055.5%1st Place
-
3.57University of South Florida0.3611.5%1st Place
-
3.42Eckerd College0.9013.1%1st Place
-
4.88Jacksonville University-0.135.0%1st Place
-
5.29Embry-Riddle University-0.523.9%1st Place
-
5.16Auburn University-0.453.6%1st Place
-
3.98Rollins College0.107.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owen Bannasch | 55.5% | 26.8% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Erik Volk | 11.5% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
Griffin Richardson | 13.1% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
Ella DesChamps | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 24.0% | 20.3% |
Zechariah Frantz | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 35.5% |
Elijah Healy | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 28.3% |
Carly Orhan | 7.6% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.