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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.83+11.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.39vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.52vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.53vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+2.99vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.08vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75+0.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23+0.37vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-0.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.00vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-4.23vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-0.46vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.71-6.66vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.97-8.69vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.51-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.92Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.74Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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14.54Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.9University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Hood | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 36.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.