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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.64+0.87vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.16-0.92vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Wisconsin0.7043.4%1st Place
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2.87University of Michigan-0.6413.5%1st Place
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2.08Northwestern University0.1633.5%1st Place
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3.19Purdue University-1.009.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 43.4% | 33.2% | 17.4% | 5.9% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 13.5% | 19.4% | 34.2% | 32.9% |
| Grace Bray | 33.5% | 33.8% | 23.7% | 9.0% |
| Kellie Keane | 9.6% | 13.7% | 24.6% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.