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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.63vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.74+3.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.50+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.83+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis2.13+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.21-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.42-2.68vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.61Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.88Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 22.3% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Harrison | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Jack Porter | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 25.2% |
| Mark Anders | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.