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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+9.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.96vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+4.06vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+1.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21+2.34vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.98-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.51-1.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-5.25vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.69vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-5.94vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.28vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.34Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.72Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 39.7% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.