← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+0.71vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-0.13+2.89vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.36+0.62vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.90-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Auburn University-0.45+0.15vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.10-2.02vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Jacksonville University2.1054.2%1st Place
-
4.89Jacksonville University-0.134.5%1st Place
-
3.62University of South Florida0.3610.5%1st Place
-
3.33Eckerd College0.9013.9%1st Place
-
5.15Auburn University-0.454.0%1st Place
-
3.98Rollins College0.109.6%1st Place
-
5.32Embry-Riddle University-0.523.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owen Bannasch | 54.2% | 28.3% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ella DesChamps | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 23.1% |
Erik Volk | 10.5% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
Griffin Richardson | 13.9% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
Elijah Healy | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 28.6% |
Carly Orhan | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
Zechariah Frantz | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.