← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.34+8.48vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.38+3.09vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.42vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.85vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.50vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.26+3.98vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.44+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.20-2.29vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.54-0.20vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.65+1.44vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University-1.38-2.52vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.45-3.76vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.13-1.92vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.93-3.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.48-2.04vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.18-5.54vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University0.95-5.90vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.20-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.48Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
-
5.09Cornell University2.3813.7%1st Place
-
8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.2%1st Place
-
5.85U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.9%1st Place
-
9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.7%1st Place
-
9.98North Carolina State University1.264.6%1st Place
-
9.63Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
-
5.71Georgetown University2.2012.6%1st Place
-
8.8University of South Florida1.546.2%1st Place
-
11.44Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
-
8.48Jacksonville University-1.386.3%1st Place
-
8.24College of Charleston1.456.0%1st Place
-
11.08Fordham University1.133.2%1st Place
-
10.99George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
-
12.96University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
-
10.46Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
-
11.1Old Dominion University0.953.1%1st Place
-
13.79Washington College0.201.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Grace Squires | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.