← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.45+7.26vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.38+3.10vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.88vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.34vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.44+5.07vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.54+2.97vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.77vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.13+2.75vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University-1.38-0.35vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.34-0.52vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.26-1.11vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.20+1.77vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.48-0.14vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.95-3.00vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.18-4.51vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.20-10.33vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University0.93-6.15vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.65-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.26College of Charleston1.457.4%1st Place
-
5.1Cornell University2.3814.3%1st Place
-
5.88U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.2%1st Place
-
8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.1%1st Place
-
10.07Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
-
8.97University of South Florida1.545.5%1st Place
-
9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.3%1st Place
-
10.75Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
-
8.65Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
-
9.48Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
-
9.89North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
-
13.77Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
-
12.86University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
-
11.0Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
-
10.49Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
-
5.67Georgetown University2.2012.9%1st Place
-
10.85George Washington University0.933.3%1st Place
-
11.21Connecticut College0.653.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 29.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.