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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.64vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+2.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.45+5.32vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34+5.34vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+2.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+3.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54-2.21vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.26-2.10vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-1.96vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-3.04vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-6.28vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-4.50vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.17vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Georgetown University2.2012.0%1st Place
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4.94Cornell University2.3816.4%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston1.455.9%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.3%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.5%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida1.545.9%1st Place
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9.9North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University1.132.8%1st Place
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8.72Jacksonville University-1.385.6%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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13.83Washington College0.201.7%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University0.933.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 16.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Emily Allen | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 28.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.