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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.44+8.98vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.83vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+5.57vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+2.04vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+2.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54+0.85vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.36vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-3.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-1.56vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-4.20vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.19vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.90vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.31vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.48-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.2010.9%1st Place
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5.07Cornell University2.3814.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.7%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.183.9%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston1.457.5%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University1.344.9%1st Place
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8.85University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
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10.87Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.8%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.6%1st Place
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8.49Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College0.653.5%1st Place
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9.8North Carolina State University1.263.9%1st Place
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10.81George Washington University0.933.8%1st Place
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11.1Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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13.69Washington College0.201.5%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Grace Squires | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 27.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.