← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+4.10vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.05vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20+2.72vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.26+6.09vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.55vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.54+1.81vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.45+0.15vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University-1.38-0.55vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18+0.63vs Predicted
-
11Washington College0.20+2.50vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.48+1.00vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.95-1.97vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.44-3.86vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University0.93-4.07vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.13-5.23vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.34-7.48vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.65-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.1Cornell University2.3814.1%1st Place
-
6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.6%1st Place
-
5.72Georgetown University2.2011.8%1st Place
-
10.09North Carolina State University1.264.3%1st Place
-
8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.8%1st Place
-
9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
-
8.81University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
-
8.15College of Charleston1.456.4%1st Place
-
8.45Jacksonville University-1.386.6%1st Place
-
10.63Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
-
13.5Washington College0.201.7%1st Place
-
13.0University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
-
11.03Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
-
10.14Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
-
10.93George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
-
10.77Fordham University1.133.1%1st Place
-
9.52Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
-
11.31Connecticut College0.653.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Grace Squires | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 25.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.