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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+7.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+4.26vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+4.96vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.31vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38+0.60vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+2.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.65+1.37vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.54-3.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48+0.06vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-3.26vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.09vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-6.24vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.04-11.17vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.20-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.5%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
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5.04Cornell University2.3814.7%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston1.455.8%1st Place
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9.96North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University2.2012.6%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.183.7%1st Place
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8.6Jacksonville University-1.385.6%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University0.953.1%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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9.45Tulane University1.345.4%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida1.545.5%1st Place
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13.06University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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10.74Fordham University1.133.3%1st Place
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10.91George Washington University0.933.4%1st Place
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9.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.1%1st Place
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13.8Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.