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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.44+7.10vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+5.51vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+5.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+5.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+1.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.50vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.65+2.36vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.20+3.81vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-1.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.04vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-1.07vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-9.37vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.34-6.67vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.54-8.07vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Cornell University2.3813.5%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston1.456.5%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University0.952.6%1st Place
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8.76Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.9%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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13.81Washington College0.201.5%1st Place
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9.8North Carolina State University1.263.9%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.3%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
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5.63Georgetown University2.2013.7%1st Place
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9.33Tulane University1.345.1%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida1.545.5%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University0.933.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 27.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 20.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.