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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.93vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.74+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+1.26vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.60-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.83-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis2.13-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.21-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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3.93Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.82Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 20.9% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Soper | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Cody Shevitz | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Jack Porter | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 24.7% |
| Mark Anders | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.