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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+7.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+6.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.20vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54+1.81vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+3.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.37vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13+0.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-1.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-3.33vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-3.18vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.34-4.68vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-3.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-4.90vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-4.06vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.20-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston1.456.3%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University2.2013.0%1st Place
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5.2Cornell University2.3813.6%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.7%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.7%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida1.545.4%1st Place
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11.02George Washington University0.934.0%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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10.9Fordham University1.133.2%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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8.67Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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9.82North Carolina State University1.264.4%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University1.344.7%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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11.1Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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13.85Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Squires | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 20.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.